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EXCLUSIVE: DEMOCRATS FRIGHTENED OF FUTURE MIGRATION TO RED STATES

EXCLUSIVE COMMENTARY FROM ROB BRANTLEY

BRANTLEY WROTE:

The gist of this (map) is that the migration of population from the North, Upper Midwest, and Left coast to the South and non-coastal West is increasing at an exponential rate. Such migration is not a new phenomenon. It has been occurring for decades as businessmen got transferred to the South or West from the North beginning in earnest in the 1960s. Yet, beginning with the 1980s the "Great Migration" started to show higher numbers. This has occurred with each succeeding decade.

Then, in the 2010s, as the radical Obama regime took hold, the intensity appeared to take on a steroidal effect. An exponential increase in the migration began, which has carried over into the 2020s as the regulations and taxes from the Blue states got even worse, in part to make up for the job losses they caused by previous tax and regulatory increases.
Fast-forward to 2030 when the new Census will occur, and take effect beginning with the 2032 elections, which is a presidential election year.

According to the projected map, Red states are poised to gain 13 congressional seats, which also means 13 Electoral College votes (they/Trump gained three EC votes in the 2024 election based on the 2020 Census; this, alone, shows the exponential increase that is occurring).

The net gain would be 12 EC votes as some of the Northern states that Trump won are losing votes (I do not cite AZ as it is a Purple state). This equals roughly five percent of the 270 EC votes needed to win. It is impossible to overstate the importance and magnitude of such a massive shift in population realignment, and the resulting political consequences that will benefit Republicans and conservatives.

In short, if projections hold TX would gain four seats, FL three seats, and NC, SC, GA, TN, ID, UT, and AZ would gain one congressional seat each. In contrast, CA would lose four seats, NY three seats, IL two seats, and OR, MN, MI, PA, and RI would lose one seat each.

In sum, people have begun giving up on many of the Blue states, and are leaving in droves. Job-seekers cannot find jobs, or at least any that pay a decent wage. Businesses are leaving. People with money are leaving. Retirees are leaving, and/or new ones are following the examples of millions from past decades, and choosing to sunset where the overall environment and lifestyle is more amenable to a normal American existence.

Rob Brantley, J.D.
Policy Consultant

HAT TIP TO Chris Cillizza AND BRENNAN CENTER PROJECTIONS